Revenue is $46 million, of which $42.3 million comes from 88,000 active subscribers who spend an average of $480 a year on fresh-frozen and air-dried dog food. Growth has slowed from 52% to 18% in two years. Paid social brings in 71% of new customers, and the blended cost to acquire one has risen from $61 to $94. Only 62% of new subscribers are still active after 90 days, and 44% after a year. Contribution margin is 38% after food, packaging, cold shipping and payment costs. A 40-store pilot in independent pet stores is the only revenue outside our own website.
Challenges- We sign up about 70,000 new subscribers a year and lose about 57,000, so most acquisition spend replaces customers instead of adding them.
- One channel supplies 71% of new customers, and its cost per customer has risen 54% in two years.
- The range is dog food only. A household that also owns a cat, or wants treats, buys those elsewhere.
We will focus on- The first 90 days of a subscription, where 38% of new customers are lost.
- More revenue per household: treats, supplements and a cat food line for the 31% of our customers who also own a cat.
- Two acquisition channels that do not depend on ad auctions: vet and breeder referrals, and independent pet stores.
We will not- Mass and grocery retail. Freezer space, trade margins above 40% and promotional funding would push contribution margin below our floor.
- Launching in Canada before 2029, although 6% of site visitors already come from there.
- Half-price first boxes. Introductory discounts are capped at 30%, which will reduce sign-ups in the short term.