Of 3,000 employees, 930 (31%) can retire within five years, and the share is 38% in the craft and control room roles that keep the lights on. Retirements have risen from 60 a year to 95 and are forecast to reach 140 by 2029. Across 660 critical craft and operations positions, 59 are vacant (9%). The lineworker apprenticeship takes four years and graduates about 14 people a year against roughly 60 journeyman exits, so spend on contract line crews has grown from $24 million to $38 million in three years. Only 28 of 90 critical leadership and technical specialist positions have a ready-now successor.
Challenges- Qualification lead times are longer than the planning cycle. An apprentice hired in 2027 tops out in 2031, and a system operator needs 18 months to certify, yet positions are only approved once someone has given notice.
- Knowledge of relay settings, switching procedures and 140 substations sits with about 250 retirement-eligible people and is mostly undocumented.
- The people needed to train successors are leaving for other reasons: 6% of journeyman lineworkers quit each year, mainly for contractors, and 11% of engineers with 3 to 8 years of tenure leave.
We will focus on- The 660 craft and operations positions and 90 leadership and technical specialist positions where a vacancy affects reliability or safety.
- Hiring and training ahead of forecast exits instead of backfilling after them.
- Retaining the journeymen and mid-career engineers who will be the trainers and supervisors of 2030.
We will not- A company-wide high-potential program. Development money goes to named successors for critical positions, not to a broad pool.
- Matching contractor pay for journeymen. A 15% premium on base would cost about $8 million a year and still lose to storm overtime rates.
- Blanket bonuses to delay retirement. Phased retirement is offered only to named knowledge holders with a successor to train.