The chain turns over $1.9B across 85 stores and 38,000 items, with 71% of sales linked to a loyalty card. Fresh departments lose 6.8% of sales to shrink, about $45M a year, and fresh orders are still written by department managers from memory. Merchandising, finance and store operations each report a different sales and margin figure, and analysts spend 55% of their time reconciling them. The reporting estate holds 1,400 reports, 60% unopened in a year. Item records are wrong or incomplete for 14% of active items, and store stock records match the shelf for 64% of items counted. A study of 600 promotions found 35% lost money.
Challenges- There is no agreed definition of sales, margin or shrink. Vendor funding sits in buyers' spreadsheets, so margin by item is known only at quarter end.
- Item and inventory data are wrong at the source. Replenishment and any forecast built on a stock record that is right 64% of the time will order the wrong quantity.
- The warehouse loads once a night and waste is recorded weekly by department, so nobody can see yesterday's waste by item for a store.
We will focus on- Three decisions worth the most: how much fresh product to order, which promotions to run again, and what price to set by zone.
- Fixing item, vendor funding and inventory data where it is created, with a named owner in the business for each.
- One certified set of sales, margin and shrink measures that every report uses.
We will not- One-to-one personalized offers. Marketing wants them, but the loyalty data is the cleanest we have and the larger losses are in fresh and promotions.
- Selling shopper insights to suppliers. It could earn several million dollars a year, and it waits until item data and privacy controls would survive a supplier's scrutiny.
- Real-time streaming from the tills. Hourly sales loads are enough for ordering and cost a fraction as much to run.